Document Type : Research Paper
Abstract
The losses in electrical distribution network (EDN) for Baghdad city, as they are now, are one of difficulties facing electrical sector due to their relatively high occurrence. Two types of losses can be indicated, technical and administrative (commercial). The first normally occur when the Electrical current passes through conductors, as a heat in wires, while the latter caused by either illegal connection to EDN, leading to Energy leakage or tampered and by-passing (KWH) meters that lead in turn to non-accurate reading Losses of electrical Energy (LEE) highly reduce electrical Energy provided, and so further study is required that may limit them. In this research, (LEE) were studied and predicted for 2023 based on time series (2018-2022). These series included two styles of principle exponential (PE), single and double for Holt, also simple linear regression used. The result showed that single principle (PE) methodology created the minimum values for Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) compared with double (PE) for Holt and simple linear regression methodologies. The first one can be adopted for future predictions of (LEE).