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Prediction of the amount of Electrical Energy Leaked to Wasit Governorate for the Period (2018-2022)

    Author

    • Ali kwesh haroon
,

Document Type : Research Paper

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Abstract

The losses in electrical distribution network (EDN) for Baghdad city, as they are now, are one of difficulties facing electrical sector due to their relatively high occurrence. Two types of losses can be indicated, technical and administrative (commercial). The first normally occur when the Electrical current passes through conductors, as a heat in wires, while the latter caused by either illegal connection to EDN, leading to Energy leakage or tampered and by-passing (KWH) meters that lead in turn to non-accurate reading Losses of electrical Energy (LEE) highly reduce electrical Energy provided, and so further study is required that may limit them. In this research, (LEE) were studied and predicted for 2023 based on time series (2018-2022). These series included two styles of principle exponential (PE), single and double for Holt, also simple linear regression used. The result showed that single principle (PE) methodology created the minimum values for Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) compared with double (PE) for Holt and simple linear regression methodologies. The first one can be adopted for future predictions of (LEE).  

Keywords

  • Prediction using simple linear regression
  • Autocorrelation
  • Time Series
  • Leakage Energy
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Alkut university college journal
Volume 10, Issue 1
June 2025
Page 99-111
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APA

haroon, A. K. (2025). Prediction of the amount of Electrical Energy Leaked to Wasit Governorate for the Period (2018-2022). Alkut university college journal, 10(1), 99-111.

MLA

haroon, A. K. . "Prediction of the amount of Electrical Energy Leaked to Wasit Governorate for the Period (2018-2022)", Alkut university college journal, 10, 1, 2025, 99-111.

HARVARD

haroon, A. K. (2025). 'Prediction of the amount of Electrical Energy Leaked to Wasit Governorate for the Period (2018-2022)', Alkut university college journal, 10(1), pp. 99-111.

CHICAGO

A. K. haroon, "Prediction of the amount of Electrical Energy Leaked to Wasit Governorate for the Period (2018-2022)," Alkut university college journal, 10 1 (2025): 99-111,

VANCOUVER

haroon, A. K. Prediction of the amount of Electrical Energy Leaked to Wasit Governorate for the Period (2018-2022). Alkut university college journal, 2025; 10(1): 99-111.

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